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Abstract
This study aims to evaluate the significant impact of the agricultural and trade sectors on the growth rate of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) in West Sulawesi from 2017 to 2023. The analysis was conducted using GRDP data at constant prices, which reflects the contribution of each sector to the overall GRDP. Data collection techniques included observation and secondary data retrieval from the BPS website. The data were processed and analyzed using multiple linear regression. The regression analysis results indicate that the agricultural sector has a t-coefficient of 11,665.550 with a significance value of 0.000, while the trade sector has a t-coefficient of 10,678.826 with a significance value of 0.000. These findings confirm that both sectors significantly influence the GRDP growth rate. The F-test results further validate this relationship, showing that the agricultural sector (F-value = 136,085,062.042) and the trade sector (F-value = 114,037,315.965) significantly explain variations in GRDP. Throughout the study period, the agricultural sector's contribution to GRDP remained stable at around 39%, while the trade sector accounted for approximately 10%. However, a decline in contribution observed in 2024 suggests fluctuations that warrant further analysis. These findings highlight the critical role of both sectors in driving economic growth in West Sulawesi.
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References
- Aulia, R. N. (2020). The Effect of the Agricultural Sector and the Trade Sector on the Growth Rate of GRDP in North Sumatra in 2011-2019. In Orphanet Journal of Rare Diseases (Vol. 21, Issue 1). North Sumatra State Islamic University.
- Agribusiness Agency, Ministry of Agriculture. 2000. Technical Guidelines for the Development of Agribusiness Sub Terminals. Jakarta.
- BPS of West Sulawesi Province, 2024. West Sulawesi Province GRDP Book, 2019-2023.
- Dama, H. Y., Lapian, A. L. Ch., & Sumual, J. I. (2016). The Effect of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) on Poverty Level in Manado city (2005-2014). Journal of Efficiency Scientific Periodicals, 16(3), 549-561.
- Iqbal, Muhammad and Sudaryanto, Tahlim. 2018. Corporate Social Responsibility in the Perspective of Agricultural Development Policy. Agricultural Policy Analysis Vol. 6 No. 2. Center for Socio-Economic Analysis and Agricultural Policy Studies. Bogor.
- Kuznets, S. (1957). Quantitative Aspects of the Economic Growth of Nations: II. Industrial Distribution of National Product and Labor Force. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 5(4), 1-111.
- Kuznets, S. (1966). Modern Economic Growth. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
- Lewis, W. A. (2013). Theory of Economic Growth. London: Routledge.
- Meier, G. M., & Rauch, J. E. (2000). Leading Issues in Economic Development, Seventh Edition. New York: Oxford University Press.
- Mihnenoka, A., & Saulītis, J. (2013). Evaluating the Significance of Structural Changes within the National Economy for Economic Growth of Latvia using the Econometric Model. Economics & Business.
- Mi`Rojun Nurun Nadziroh. 2020. The Role of the Agricultural Sector in Economic Growth in Magetan Regency. Agristan Journal. Vol. 2, No. 1.
- Myrdal, G. (1971). Economic Theory and Underdeveloped Regions. India Quarterly: A Journal of International Affairs, 16(2), 189-191.
- Nasoetion, L. (1991). Engineering the Transformation of Indonesia's Economic Structure to Improve the Efficiency of the Agricultural Sector. Seminar on Agricultural Development in PJP II, Bogor.
- Nazara, S. (2005). Input-Output Analysis Second Edition. Jakarta: Publishing House of the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia.
- Nguyen, H. C. (2018). Empirical Evidence of Structural Change: the Case of Vietnam's Economic Growth. Journal of Southeast Asian Economies, 35(2), 237-256.
- Rompas, J., Enka, D., & Tolosang, K. (2015). Potential of agriculture sector and its effect on labor absorption in South Minahasa Regency. Journal of Efficiency Scientific Periodical, 15(4), 124-136.
- Soetrisno, N. (2013). Indonesian Cooperatives: Portraits and Challenges. Journal of People's Economy, II(5), Jakarta
- Soetrisno, N. (2013). Towards Sustainable Economic Development. Indonesian College of Economics Finance and Banking (STEKPI). Jakarta.
- Tambunan, T. H. (2013). The Development of the Agricultural Sector in Indonesia: Some Important Issues. Ghalia Indonesia, Jakarta.
- Wahyuningtias, A. D. (2021). Analysis of the influence of the agricultural sector and the trade sector on the gross regional domestic product of Magelang Regency. Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies, 1(1), 1-11. Available at: https://journal.nurscienceinstitute.id/index.php/jerps
- CIPS Indonesia: https://repository.cips-indonesia.org/publications/345661/produktivitas-tanaman-pangan-dan-hortikultura
- BPS West Sulawesi: https://sulbar.bps.go.id/news/2020/12/02/77/sektor-pertanian-tulang-punggung-pdrb-sulawesi-barat.html.
References
Aulia, R. N. (2020). The Effect of the Agricultural Sector and the Trade Sector on the Growth Rate of GRDP in North Sumatra in 2011-2019. In Orphanet Journal of Rare Diseases (Vol. 21, Issue 1). North Sumatra State Islamic University.
Agribusiness Agency, Ministry of Agriculture. 2000. Technical Guidelines for the Development of Agribusiness Sub Terminals. Jakarta.
BPS of West Sulawesi Province, 2024. West Sulawesi Province GRDP Book, 2019-2023.
Dama, H. Y., Lapian, A. L. Ch., & Sumual, J. I. (2016). The Effect of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) on Poverty Level in Manado city (2005-2014). Journal of Efficiency Scientific Periodicals, 16(3), 549-561.
Iqbal, Muhammad and Sudaryanto, Tahlim. 2018. Corporate Social Responsibility in the Perspective of Agricultural Development Policy. Agricultural Policy Analysis Vol. 6 No. 2. Center for Socio-Economic Analysis and Agricultural Policy Studies. Bogor.
Kuznets, S. (1957). Quantitative Aspects of the Economic Growth of Nations: II. Industrial Distribution of National Product and Labor Force. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 5(4), 1-111.
Kuznets, S. (1966). Modern Economic Growth. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
Lewis, W. A. (2013). Theory of Economic Growth. London: Routledge.
Meier, G. M., & Rauch, J. E. (2000). Leading Issues in Economic Development, Seventh Edition. New York: Oxford University Press.
Mihnenoka, A., & Saulītis, J. (2013). Evaluating the Significance of Structural Changes within the National Economy for Economic Growth of Latvia using the Econometric Model. Economics & Business.
Mi`Rojun Nurun Nadziroh. 2020. The Role of the Agricultural Sector in Economic Growth in Magetan Regency. Agristan Journal. Vol. 2, No. 1.
Myrdal, G. (1971). Economic Theory and Underdeveloped Regions. India Quarterly: A Journal of International Affairs, 16(2), 189-191.
Nasoetion, L. (1991). Engineering the Transformation of Indonesia's Economic Structure to Improve the Efficiency of the Agricultural Sector. Seminar on Agricultural Development in PJP II, Bogor.
Nazara, S. (2005). Input-Output Analysis Second Edition. Jakarta: Publishing House of the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia.
Nguyen, H. C. (2018). Empirical Evidence of Structural Change: the Case of Vietnam's Economic Growth. Journal of Southeast Asian Economies, 35(2), 237-256.
Rompas, J., Enka, D., & Tolosang, K. (2015). Potential of agriculture sector and its effect on labor absorption in South Minahasa Regency. Journal of Efficiency Scientific Periodical, 15(4), 124-136.
Soetrisno, N. (2013). Indonesian Cooperatives: Portraits and Challenges. Journal of People's Economy, II(5), Jakarta
Soetrisno, N. (2013). Towards Sustainable Economic Development. Indonesian College of Economics Finance and Banking (STEKPI). Jakarta.
Tambunan, T. H. (2013). The Development of the Agricultural Sector in Indonesia: Some Important Issues. Ghalia Indonesia, Jakarta.
Wahyuningtias, A. D. (2021). Analysis of the influence of the agricultural sector and the trade sector on the gross regional domestic product of Magelang Regency. Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies, 1(1), 1-11. Available at: https://journal.nurscienceinstitute.id/index.php/jerps
CIPS Indonesia: https://repository.cips-indonesia.org/publications/345661/produktivitas-tanaman-pangan-dan-hortikultura
BPS West Sulawesi: https://sulbar.bps.go.id/news/2020/12/02/77/sektor-pertanian-tulang-punggung-pdrb-sulawesi-barat.html.