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Abstract
This research analyzes how credit growth, capitalization, and profitability influence credit risk in Indonesian Regional Development Banks (Bank Pembangunan Daerah, hereafter BPDs), additionally investigating the moderating influence of female commissioners. Based on Agency Theory and Resource Dependence Theory, it suggests that both financial performance and board governance structures affect banks’ willingness to take risks and their credit risk results. Using a quantitative approach, the study analyzes panel data from 23 conventional BPDs in Indonesia over the 2018–2024 period through panel data regression, generating 161 bank-year observations. The hypotheses are tested using panel data regression with the Random Effects Model (REM), selected through panel model specification tests. The findings indicate that the expansion of loans and the enhancement of profits notably diminish credit risk, suggesting that cautious lending practices and improved financial performance contribute to better credit quality and risk management. Capital adequacy exhibits a positive yet inconsequential link to credit risk, implying that holding more capital may lead to increased risk-taking behavior. The presence of female commissioners does not significantly influence credit risk and does not affect the relationship between loan growth, capital adequacy, or profitability. In summary, the model demonstrates statistical significance and accounts for 17.06% of the variation in credit risk. Female commissioners have minimal impact on credit risk and its relation to financial factors, indicating limited influence of board gender diversity on oversight. The study enriches banking risk literature by showing that female board representation has limited governance impact in emerging-market regional banks without substantial decision-making power.
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References
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- Salem, A., Jaarar, A., Abdelhaq, R., Sartawi, A. M. A. M. Al, & Nour, A. (2025). Unveiling the Drivers of CSR Disclosure in Emerging Economies: The Role of Boardrooms and Firm Characteristics in Palestine. 1–17. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-6666644/v1
- Setiawan, R., & Khoirotunnisa, F. (2020). The Impact of Board Gender Diversity on Bank Credit Risk. The International Journal of Business Review (The Jobs Review), 3(2), 47–52. https://doi.org/10.17509/tjr.v3i2.28158
- Sutanto, H., Meiryani, & Ariefianto Moch Doddy. (2024). The dynamic relationships of credit risk, profitability, and capital: Evidence from Indonesia. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 14(3), 191–207. https://doi.org/10.55493/5002.v14i3.5014
- Waemustafa, W., & Sukri, S. (2015). Bank Specific and Macroeconomics Dynamic Determinants of Credit Risk in Islamic Banks and Conventional Banks. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 5(2), 476–481. https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.4042992
References
Abadi, A. R. D., & Lutfi, L. (2025). Liquidity Risk and The Impact of Credit Growth on Profitability in Rural Banks: The Moderating Role of Bank Size. Golden Ratio of Finance Management, 5(2), 587–599. https://doi.org/10.52970/grfm.v5i2.1569
Abdelaziz, H., Rim, B., & Helmi, H. (2022). The Interactional Relationships Between Credit Risk, Liquidity Risk and Bank Profitability in MENA Region. Global Business Review, 23(3), 561–583. https://doi.org/10.1177/0972150919879304
Ain, Q. U., Yuan, X., Javaid, H. M., Usman, M., & Haris, M. (2020). Female directors and agency costs: evidence from Chinese listed firms. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 16(8), 1604–1633. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJOEM-10-2019-0818
Akhter, N. (2023). Determinants of commercial bank’s non-performing loans in Bangladesh: An empirical evidence. Cogent Economics & Finance, 11(1), 2194128. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023.2194128
Arnanto, T. T., & Lutfi, L. (2025). Internal Financial Determinants of Profitability: Evidence From Rural Banks in Indonesia. Golden Ratio of Finance Management, 5(2), 573–586. https://doi.org/10.52970/grfm.v5i2.1605
Barra, C., & Ruggiero, N. (2023). Bank-specific factors and credit risk: evidence from Italian banks in different local markets. Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance, 31(3), 316–350. https://doi.org/10.1108/JFRC-04-2022-0051
Berger, A. N., & DeYoung, R. (1997). Problem loans and cost efficiency in commercial banks. Journal of Banking & Finance, 21(6), 849–870. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(97)00003-4
Birindelli, G., Chiappini, H., & Savioli, M. (2020). When do women on board of directors reduce bank risk? Corporate Governance, 20(7), 1307–1327. https://doi.org/10.1108/CG-03-2020-0089
Blumberg, B., Cooper, D., & Schindler, P. (2014). EBOOK: Business Research Methods. McGraw Hill.
Fitriani, F., Yusuf, M., & Maksar, M. S. (2025). Evolution and Determinants of Non-Performing Loan Burden in The Group of Seven (G7) Banking Sector. Golden Ratio of Finance Management, 5(2), 372–385. https://doi.org/10.52970/grfm.v5i2.1211
Gujarati, D. N. (2021). Essentials of Econometrics. Sage Publications, 632.
Jabbouri, I., & Naili, M. (2019). Determinants of nonperforming loans in emerging markets: evidence from the MENA region. Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies, 22(4), 1–33. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219091519500267
Jensen, M. C., & Meckling, W. H. (1976). Theory of the Firm: Managerial Behavior, Agency Costs, and Ownership Structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(4), 305–360. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(76)90026-X
Kharabsheh, B. (2019). Determinants of bank credit risk: Empirical evidence from Jordanian commercial banks. Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal, 23(3), 1–12. https://www.abacademies.org/articles/determinants-of-bank-credit-risk-empirical-evidence-from-jordanian-commercial-banks-8197.html
Misman, F. N., & Bhatti, M. I. (2020). The determinants of credit risk: An evidence from ASEAN and GCC Islamic banks. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 13(5), 89. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13050089
Musah, A., Okyere, B., Boye, G. N. A., & Dodor, C. (2022). Board Characteristics, Ownership Structures and Gender Diversity on Bank Risk-taking Behavior of Banks in Ghana. African Journal of Business and Economic Research, 17(1), 179–203. https://doi.org/10.31920/1750-4562/2022/v17n1a8
Naili, M., & Lahrichi, Y. (2022). Banks’ credit risk, systematic determinants and specific factors: recent evidence from emerging markets. Heliyon, 8(2). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e08960
Nikolaidou, E., & Vogiazas, S. D. (2017). Credit risk determinants in Sub-Saharan banking systems: Evidence from five countries and lessons learnt from Central East and South East European countries. Review of Development Finance, 7(1), 52–63. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rdf.2017.01.003
Othmani, H. (2021). Does board gender diversity matter in the banking sector? Evidence from Tunisia. African Development Review, 33(1), 14–24. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.12487
Pfeffer, J., & Salancik, G. R. (1978). The External Control of Organizations: A Resource Dependence Perspective. Harper & Row.
Saleh, I., & Afifa, M. A. (2020). The effect of credit risk, liquidity risk and bank capital on bank profitability: Evidence from an emerging market. Cogent Economics & Finance, 8(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2020.1814509
Salem, A., Jaarar, A., Abdelhaq, R., Sartawi, A. M. A. M. Al, & Nour, A. (2025). Unveiling the Drivers of CSR Disclosure in Emerging Economies: The Role of Boardrooms and Firm Characteristics in Palestine. 1–17. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-6666644/v1
Setiawan, R., & Khoirotunnisa, F. (2020). The Impact of Board Gender Diversity on Bank Credit Risk. The International Journal of Business Review (The Jobs Review), 3(2), 47–52. https://doi.org/10.17509/tjr.v3i2.28158
Sutanto, H., Meiryani, & Ariefianto Moch Doddy. (2024). The dynamic relationships of credit risk, profitability, and capital: Evidence from Indonesia. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 14(3), 191–207. https://doi.org/10.55493/5002.v14i3.5014
Waemustafa, W., & Sukri, S. (2015). Bank Specific and Macroeconomics Dynamic Determinants of Credit Risk in Islamic Banks and Conventional Banks. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 5(2), 476–481. https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.4042992