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Abstract
This study examines the evolution of academic discourse on Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) in response to the digitalization of global commerce, focusing on the OECD/G20 Two-Pillar Solution and its implications for advanced and developing economies. Using a multi-method approach, the research combines a systematic literature review, bibliometric mapping with VOSviewer 1.6.20, and quantitative synthesis comparable to meta-analysis. The corpus consists of 60 sources, including 50 peer-reviewed journal articles and 10 authoritative policy documents published between 2013 and 2025. Bibliometric analysis identifies five dominant thematic clusters in BEPS scholarship and shows an average annual publication growth of approximately 32% after 2015. Quantitative synthesis of 28 empirical studies produces a pooled standardized effect size of d = 0.42 with a 95% confidence interval of 0.31–0.53, indicating moderate and statistically significant policy effectiveness, though with substantial heterogeneity. Findings suggest that digital services taxes have moderated profit-shifting behavior, while Pillar One faces political resistance and Pillar Two’s GloBE Rules create compliance burdens, especially for lower-income jurisdictions. The study provides policy and scholarly insights into post-BEPS international tax governance.
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References
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References
Aisyah, S. (2025). Influence of Taxes on Capital Flows and Foreign Direct Investment. Golden Ratio of Taxation Studies, 5(1), 17–28. https://doi.org/10.52970/grts.v5i1.615
Avi-Yonah, R. S. (2000). Globalization, tax competition, and the fiscal crisis of the welfare state. Harvard Law Review, 113(7), 1573–1676. https://doi.org/10.2307/1342445
Beer, S., De Mooij, R., & Liu, L. (2023). International corporate tax avoidance: A review of the channels, magnitudes, and blind spots. IMF Working Paper No. 18/168 (updated version). International Monetary Fund.
Borenstein, M., Hedges, L. V., Higgins, J. P. T., & Rothstein, H. R. (2009). Introduction to meta-analysis. Wiley.
Cobham, A., & Janský, P. (2020). Estimating illicit financial flows: A critical guide to the data, methodologies, and findings. Oxford University Press.
Cohen, J. (1988). Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences (2nd ed.). Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.
DerSimonian, R., & Laird, N. (1986). Meta-analysis in clinical trials. Controlled Clinical Trials, 7(3), 177–188. https://doi.org/10.1016/0197-2456(86)90046-2
Devereux, M. P., Auerbach, A. J., Keen, M., Oosterhuis, P., Schön, W., & Vella, J. (2021). Taxing profit in a global economy. Oxford University Press.
Devereux, M. P., & Vella, J. (2018). Value creation as justification for the arm's length principle. Oxford University Centre for Business Taxation Working Paper. Oxford University.
Gultom, I. M., & Wardhani, N. K. (2025). Analysis of Transfer Pricing Practices in Avoiding Tax Payments in Indonesia. Golden Ratio of Taxation Studies, 5(2), 87–99. https://doi.org/10.52970/grts.v5i2.1586
Hadzhieva, E. (2019). Impact of digitalization on international tax matters: Challenges and remedies. European Parliament. https://doi.org/10.2861/94
Hearson, M. (2021). Imposing standards: The North–South dimension to global tax politics. Cornell University Press.
Hedges, L. V., & Olkin, I. (1985). Statistical methods for meta-analysis. Academic Press.
Herzfeld, M. (2022). The United States and the two-pillar solution: A critical assessment. Tax Notes International, 105(3), 345–361.
ICTD (International Centre for Tax and Development). (2022). Pillar Two and developing countries: Revenue gains, administrative challenges, and policy options. ICTD Research Report.
IMF (International Monetary Fund). (2021). Corporate taxation in the global economy. IMF Policy Paper. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781498310796.007
Janský, P. (2020). Corporate profit shifting and the role of tax havens: Evidence from country-by-country reporting data. Empirica, 47(4), 827–862. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10663-020-09488-7
Janský, P. (2023). Global minimum corporate tax: Challenges and opportunities for developing countries. WIDER Working Paper 2023/08. UNU-WIDER.
Keen, M., & Konrad, K. A. (2013). The theory of international tax competition and coordination. In A. J. Auerbach, R. Chetty, M. Feldstein, & E. Saez (Eds.), Handbook of public economics (Vol. 5, pp. 257–328). Elsevier.
Lestari, M. (2023). Taxes and Organizational Change: A Management Theory Review. Golden Ratio of Taxation Studies, 3(2), 56–66. https://doi.org/10.52970/grts.v3i2.634
Liu, L., Schmidt-Eisenlohr, T., & Guo, D. (2021). International transfer pricing and tax avoidance: Evidence from linked trade-tax statistics in the United Kingdom. Review of Economics and Statistics, 103(4), 682–698. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00919
OECD. (2015). Explanatory statement: OECD/G20 base erosion and profit shifting project. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264263437-en
OECD. (2021a). Statement on a two-pillar solution to address the tax challenges arising from the digitalisation of the economy. OECD/G20 Inclusive Framework on BEPS.
OECD. (2022). Tax challenges arising from the digitalisation of the economy — Global anti-base erosion model rules (Pillar Two). OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/782bac33-en
OECD. (2023). Corporate tax statistics, fourth edition. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/c8aea399-en
OECD. (2025a). Pillar Two: Implementation status and ongoing developments. OECD Inclusive Framework Update. OECD Publishing.
OECD. (2025b). Pillar One — Amount B: Simplified and streamlined approach. OECD Publishing.
Picciotto, S. (2017). Taxing multinational enterprises as unitary firms. In T. Pogge & K. Mehta (Eds.), Global tax fairness (pp. 1–28). Oxford University Press.
Rahman, Y. (2023). Effects of Taxes on Consumer Behavior: A Macro-Economic Study. Golden Ratio of Taxation Studies, 3(2), 67–75. https://doi.org/10.52970/grts.v3i2.633
Riedel, N. (2018). Quantifying international tax avoidance: A review of the academic literature. Review of Economics, 69(2), 169–181. https://doi.org/10.1515/roe-2018-0004
Rosenberg, M. S. (2005). The file-drawer problem revisited: A general weighted method for calculating fail-safe numbers in meta-analysis. Evolution, 59(2), 464–468. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0014-3820.2005.tb01004.x
Rosenthal, R. (1979). The file drawer problem and tolerance for null results. Psychological Bulletin, 86(3), 638–641. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-2909.86.3.638
Xu, R., & Li, X. (2023). Digital economy taxation and profit shifting: Evidence from a cross-country panel. Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, 49, 100518. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intaccaudtax.2023.100518
Zucman, G. (2014). Taxing across borders: Tracking personal wealth and corporate profits. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28(4), 121–148. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.28.4.121