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Abstract
This study aims to examine the effect of financial distress on firm value in energy sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2022–2024. Financial distress is proxied by the Altman Z-Score, while firm value is measured using Tobin’s Q. A quantitative approach was employed using secondary data obtained from annual financial statements. The sample was selected through purposive sampling, resulting in 196 observations after data adjusment. Data were analyzed using IBM SPSS Statistics 27 through descriptive statistics, classical assumption tests normality, multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, and multiple linear regression with liquidity, operating cash flow, and debt to equity ratio as control variables. The results reveal that the Altman Z-Score has a positive and significant effect on firm value, indicating that firms with stronger financial health tend to receive higher market valuations. In addition, operating cash flow has a positive significant effect on firm value, liquidity has a negative significant effect, while the debt-to-equity ratio does not significantly affect firm value. This study provides empirical evidence that the Altman Z-Score serves not only as an early warning indicator of bankruptcy risk but also as a relevant determinant of firm value in an emerging market with relatively low market efficiency. The findings offer practical implications for investors and corporate managers in assessing financial health to support investment decisions and corporate financial policies.
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References
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- Almamy, J., Aston, J., & Ngwa, L. N. (2016). An evaluation of Altman’s Z-score using cash flow ratio to predict corporate failure amid the recent financial crisis: Evidence from the UK. Journal of Corporate Finance, 36, 278–285.
- Altman, E. I., Iwanicz‐Drozdowska, M., Laitinen, E. K., & Suvas, A. (2017). Financial distress prediction in an international context: A review and empirical analysis of Altman’s Z‐score model. Journal of International Financial Management & Accounting, 28(2), 131–171.
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- ElBannan, M. A. (2021). On the prediction of financial distress in emerging markets: What matters more? Empirical evidence from Arab spring countries. Emerging Markets Review, 47, 100806.
- Farooq, M., & Noor, A. (2021). The impact of corporate social responsibility on financial distress: evidence from developing economy. Pacific Accounting Review, 33(3), 376–396.
- Fitria, A., & Syahrenny, N. (2022). Pengaruh Profitabilitas, Likuiditas, Leverage Dan Ukuran Perusahaan Terhadap Financial Distress. Prive: Jurnal Riset Akuntansi Dan Keuangan, 5(1), 45–60.
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- Ghozali, I. (2018). Aplikasi analisis multivariete dengan program IBM SPSS 23. Badan penerbit universitas Diponegoro.
- Habib, A., Uddin Bhuiyan, B., & Islam, A. (2013). Financial distress, earnings management and market pricing of accruals during the global financial crisis. Managerial Finance, 39(2), 155–180.
- Hamzah, R. S., & Annisa, M. L. (2022). Altman’s Z”-Scores for financial distress predictions among food and beverages industry in Indonesia. Owner: Riset Dan Jurnal Akuntansi, 6(1), 1056–1068.
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- Hermuningsih, S., Kusuma, H., Erawati, T., & Rahmawati, A. D. (2022). Fundamental aspects of leverage, profitability and financial distress as mediating variables that influence firm value. Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Auditing Indonesia, 130–144.
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- Pujiono, P., Wildan, M. A., Kusumaningtias, R., & Putra, R. (2023). Konsep Populasi dan Sampel dengan Pendekatan Statistika. In Konsep Populasi dan Sampel dengan Pendekatan Statistika . Widya Gama Press.
- Putra, R. D., & Gantino, R. (2021). Pengaruh profitabilitas, leverage, dan ukuran perusahaan terhadap nilai perusahaan. Jurnal Bisnis Dan Manajemen, 11(1), 81–96.
- Putri, A. F., Rahim, S., & Selong, A. (2024). Pengaruh profitabilitas, ukuran perusahaan, dan leverage terhadap nilai perusahaan dengan financial distress sebagai variabel intervening. SEIKO: Journal of Management & Business, 7(1), 761–776.
- Raines, F., Baedowi, M., & Sunardi, N. (2023). Analysis of Financial Distress Condition in Energy Sector Companies Using Modified Altman Z-Score and Springate Methods. Indonesian Development of Economics and Administration Journal, 1(3), 282–296.
- Sonnya, S., & Wardhani, N. K. (2026). The Effect of Sustainability Report Disclosure and Firm Size on Firm Value with Profitability as a Moderating Variable: A Study of Mining Companies in Indonesia. Golden Ratio of Auditing Research, 6(1), 327–338.
- Spence, M. (1978). Job market signaling. In Uncertainty in economics (pp. 281–306). Elsevier.
- Sugiyono, S. (2022). Metode Penelitian & Pengembangan: Reaserch & Development. Alfabeta. https://books.google.co.id/books?id=157dzwEACAAJ
References
Alfriansyach, R. V., & Arsjah, R. J. (2026). Do ESG Score and Cash Holding Drive Firm Value? Insights from Institutional Ownership in Indonesia. Golden Ratio of Auditing Research, 6(2), 647–660.
Almamy, J., Aston, J., & Ngwa, L. N. (2016). An evaluation of Altman’s Z-score using cash flow ratio to predict corporate failure amid the recent financial crisis: Evidence from the UK. Journal of Corporate Finance, 36, 278–285.
Altman, E. I., Iwanicz‐Drozdowska, M., Laitinen, E. K., & Suvas, A. (2017). Financial distress prediction in an international context: A review and empirical analysis of Altman’s Z‐score model. Journal of International Financial Management & Accounting, 28(2), 131–171.
Bobby, B., & Jonnardi, J. (2023). Moderating Effect of Good Corporate Governance on Financial Distress in Indonesia Stock Exchange . Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Bisnis : Jurnal Program Studi Akuntansi, 9(2), 131–141.
CEIC. (2026). Indonesia Market Capitalization: % of GDP. CEIC. Https://Www.Ceicdata.Com/En/Indicator/Indonesia/Market-Capitalization--Nominal-Gdp.
Creswell, J. W., & Poth, C. N. (2018). Qualitative Inquiry and Research Design: Choosing Among Five Approaches (4th ed.). Sage publications. https://books.google.co.id/books?hl=id&lr=&id=DLbBDQAAQBAJ&oi=fnd&pg=PP1&ots=-is837LTOy&sig=R41UvMb-7PcKtQXzNFilaBPejK4&redir_esc=y#v=onepage&q=open%20ended&f=false
Dang, H. N., Nguyen, T. T. C., & Tran, D. M. (2020). The impact of earnings quality on firm value: The case of Vietnam. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 7(3), 63–72.
ElBannan, M. A. (2021). On the prediction of financial distress in emerging markets: What matters more? Empirical evidence from Arab spring countries. Emerging Markets Review, 47, 100806.
Farooq, M., & Noor, A. (2021). The impact of corporate social responsibility on financial distress: evidence from developing economy. Pacific Accounting Review, 33(3), 376–396.
Fitria, A., & Syahrenny, N. (2022). Pengaruh Profitabilitas, Likuiditas, Leverage Dan Ukuran Perusahaan Terhadap Financial Distress. Prive: Jurnal Riset Akuntansi Dan Keuangan, 5(1), 45–60.
FRED. (2026). Stock Market Capitalization to GDP for United States. FRED. Https://Fred.Stlouisfed.Org/Series/DDDM01USA156NWDB.
Friske, W., Hoelscher, S. A., & Nikolov, A. N. (2023). The impact of voluntary sustainability reporting on firm value: Insights from signaling theory. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, 51(2), 372–392.
Ghozali, I. (2018). Aplikasi analisis multivariete dengan program IBM SPSS 23. Badan penerbit universitas Diponegoro.
Habib, A., Uddin Bhuiyan, B., & Islam, A. (2013). Financial distress, earnings management and market pricing of accruals during the global financial crisis. Managerial Finance, 39(2), 155–180.
Hamzah, R. S., & Annisa, M. L. (2022). Altman’s Z”-Scores for financial distress predictions among food and beverages industry in Indonesia. Owner: Riset Dan Jurnal Akuntansi, 6(1), 1056–1068.
Heling, P., & Lastanti, H. S. (2024). The Influence of Financial Distress, Earnings Management, and Financial Performance on Firm Value with Good Corporate Governance as a Moderating Variable. Eduvest - Journal of Universal Studies, 4(10), 9375–9393. https://doi.org/10.59188/eduvest.v4i10.1494
Hermuningsih, S., Kusuma, H., Erawati, T., & Rahmawati, A. D. (2022). Fundamental aspects of leverage, profitability and financial distress as mediating variables that influence firm value. Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Auditing Indonesia, 130–144.
Jensen, M. C., & Meckling, W. H. (2019). Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure. In Corporate governance (pp. 77–132). Gower.
Nafisah, D., Widjajanti, K., & Budiati, Y. (2023). Pengaruh profitabilitas, ukuran perusahaan terhadap financial distress dengan nilai perusahaan sebagai variabel intervening. Jurnal Riset Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 16(1), 95–109.
Nurasya, S. (2023). Analisis Perbandingan Financlal Distress Menggunakan Metode Altman Z-Score Sebelum Dan Selama Pandeml Covid-19 (Studi Empiris Pada Perusahaan sektor energi yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek lndonesia Tahun 2019 dan 2020) [Skripsi]. STIE PGRI Dewantara Jombang.
Panai, R. S., Hadady, H., & Bailusy, M. N. (2023). Analisis Perbandingan Ketepatan Prediksi Financial Distress Perusahaan Menggunakan Model Altman, Zmijewski dan Springate. Jurnal Penelitian Manajemen Terapan (PENATARAN), 8(1), 66–80.
Pujiono, P., Wildan, M. A., Kusumaningtias, R., & Putra, R. (2023). Konsep Populasi dan Sampel dengan Pendekatan Statistika. In Konsep Populasi dan Sampel dengan Pendekatan Statistika . Widya Gama Press.
Putra, R. D., & Gantino, R. (2021). Pengaruh profitabilitas, leverage, dan ukuran perusahaan terhadap nilai perusahaan. Jurnal Bisnis Dan Manajemen, 11(1), 81–96.
Putri, A. F., Rahim, S., & Selong, A. (2024). Pengaruh profitabilitas, ukuran perusahaan, dan leverage terhadap nilai perusahaan dengan financial distress sebagai variabel intervening. SEIKO: Journal of Management & Business, 7(1), 761–776.
Raines, F., Baedowi, M., & Sunardi, N. (2023). Analysis of Financial Distress Condition in Energy Sector Companies Using Modified Altman Z-Score and Springate Methods. Indonesian Development of Economics and Administration Journal, 1(3), 282–296.
Sonnya, S., & Wardhani, N. K. (2026). The Effect of Sustainability Report Disclosure and Firm Size on Firm Value with Profitability as a Moderating Variable: A Study of Mining Companies in Indonesia. Golden Ratio of Auditing Research, 6(1), 327–338.
Spence, M. (1978). Job market signaling. In Uncertainty in economics (pp. 281–306). Elsevier.
Sugiyono, S. (2022). Metode Penelitian & Pengembangan: Reaserch & Development. Alfabeta. https://books.google.co.id/books?id=157dzwEACAAJ